Author Archives: olivierdupuis

Open letter: President Biden, this is how you can uphold your legacy by supporting Ukraine

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The Kyiv Independent, September 27, 2024

Dear Mr President

As Ukrainian cities continue to be targeted by Russian army missiles and drones, bringing death and devastation to the civilian population, and as many Ukrainian soldiers continue to be exposed to the terrible gliding bombs dropped from Russian territory, we take the liberty of appealing to you.

We fully understand that, as President of the only country in the Western coalition able to provide a credible and persuasive response to any headlong rush by the Moscow regime, you have been careful since the beginning of the war to avoid any scenario that could lead to escalation.

In a few months’ time, it will be three years since the Russian invasion of Ukrainian territory unfolded on a large scale; it now seems clear to us that, for both military and political reasons, this worst-case scenario is no longer likely to bring any advantage whatsoever to the Moscow leadership. Quite the contrary. Lire la suite →

Argentina en la OTAN

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La necesaria ampliación de la Alianza y un posible acuerdo sobre las islas Malvinas/Falkland con el Reino Unido

La guerra de Rusia contra Ucrania, las operaciones de desestabilización de Moscú en Oriente Medio y África, la postura cada vez más agresiva de la República Popular China, como demuestra la destrucción de la autonomía de Hong Kong, la creciente intimidación política y militar de Taiwán y la destrucción de las identidades nacionales tibetana y uigur, han alterado profundamente el proceso de globalización en curso desde hace unos cuarenta años. En general, el orden internacional basado en el respeto de la ley ya solo concierne a una parte del mundo. Todo indica que esta situación se prolongará y dará lugar a un mundo dividido en tres bloques: el bloque de los regímenes autoritarios y totalitarios, en torno a China y Rusia; un «bloque occidental», en torno a Estados Unidos, que agrupa a los países democráticos; y, entre ambos, un nuevo bloque de países «no alineados», entre los que se encuentran India y varios países de África, Asia, Oriente Medio y América Latina, que fluctúan entre el primer y el segundo bloque en función de sus intereses o de sus dependencias económicas, financieras o de seguridad. Ni siquiera la posible elección de Donald Trump podría poner en duda esta tendencia fundamental. En cambio, incluso una victoria parcial rusa en Ucrania debilitaría permanentemente al bloque «occidental». Lire la suite →

Argentina in NATO

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On the necessary enlargement of the Alliance, and a possible agreement on the Falkland Islands/Malvinas with the United Kingdom

Russia’s war on Ukraine, Moscow’s destabilisation operations in the Middle East and Africa, and the increasingly aggressive stance of the People’s Republic of China, as evidenced by the destruction of Hong Kong’s autonomy, the increasing political and military intimidation of Taiwan and the attacks on the Tibetan and Uighur national identities, have profoundly altered the process of globalisation that has been underway for some forty years. The formerly global international order, based on respect for the rule of law, now concerns only one part of the world.

There is every reason to believe that this situation will continue, giving rise to a world divided into three blocs: the bloc of authoritarian and totalitarian regimes grouped around the PRC and Russia, a « Western bloc » of democratic countries grouped around the United States, and between these two, a new bloc of "non-aligned" countries including India and many countries in Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America. These countries will shift between the first and second blocs according to their interests, as well as their economic, financial or security dependencies. Even the possible election of Donald Trump will not manage to undermine this trend. On the other hand, even a partial Russian victory in Ukraine would permanently weaken the « Western » bloc. Lire la suite →

L’Argentine dans l’Otan

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L’élargissement nécessaire de l’Alliance et une hypothèse d’accord sur les Falkland/Malouines avec le Royaume-Uni

La guerre de la Russie à l’Ukraine, les opérations de déstabilisation de Moscou au Moyen Orient et en Afrique, la posture de plus en plus agressive de la République Populaire de Chine dont témoignent la destruction de l’autonomie de Hong Kong, la multiplication des intimidations politiques et militaires à l’égard de Taiwan et la destruction des identités nationales tibétaines et ouïghoures, ont profondément altéré le processus de globalisation en cours depuis une quarantaine d’années. De global, l’ordre international basé sur le respect du droit ne concerne désormais plus qu’une partie du monde. Tout laisse croire que cette situation se prolonge, donnant naissance à un monde divisé en trois blocs: le bloc des régimes autoritaires et totalitaires, autour de la RPC et de la Russie, un « bloc occidental », autour des Etats-Unis, rassemblant les pays démocratiques et, entre les deux, un nouveau bloc de pays « non-alignés », comprenant l’Inde, de nombreux pays d’Afrique, d’Asie, du Moyen-Orient et d’Amérique latine, fluctuant entre le premier et le deuxième pôle au gré de leurs intérêts ou de leurs dépendances économiques, financières ou sécuritaires. Lire la suite →

L’Argentina nella Nato

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Il necessario allargamento dell’alleanza e un’ipotesi di accordo sulle Falkland-Malvinas con il Regno Unito

Strade, 23 Luglio 2024

La guerra della Russia all’Ucraina, le operazioni di destabilizzazione di Mosca in Medio Oriente e in Africa, l’atteggiamento sempre più aggressivo della Repubblica Popolare Cinese, testimoniato dalla cancellazione dell’autonomia di Hong Kong, dalla crescente intimidazione politica e militare nei confronti di Taiwan e dalla distruzione dell’identità nazionale tibetana e uigura, hanno alterato profondamente il processo di globalizzazione in atto da circa quarant’anni.

Da globale, l’ordine internazionale basato sul rispetto dello Stato di diritto non riguarda più che una parte del mondo. Ci sono tutte le ragioni per credere che questa situazione perdurerà, dando vita a un mondo diviso in tre blocchi: il blocco dei regimi autoritari e totalitari intorno alla RPC e alla Russia; un “blocco occidentale” intorno agli Stati Uniti, che riunisce i Paesi democratici; e, tra i due, un nuovo blocco di Paesi “non allineati”, tra cui l’India e molti Paesi dell’Africa, dell’Asia, del Medio Oriente e dell’America Latina, che fluttuano tra il primo e il secondo blocco in base ai loro interessi o alle loro dipendenze economiche, finanziarie o di sicurezza. Lire la suite →